Recently in Chicago Category

October 31, 2007

Lynne Kiesling

Over the past several years, some kind readers have inquired after the state of our home. Here's the backstory: three years ago we bought a neglected 1924 Craftsman home in Chicago. We did some preliminary work (air conditioning, plaster, refinished wood), but then spent three years living in the place and working with architects to decide how we wanted to renovate it.

Construction started in mid-September, and should end by mid-March. Here's what the back of the house looked like about a month ago:

IMGP0610

More below the fold ... and bonus points if you can name the song that inspired this post's title!

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August 24, 2007

Lynne Kiesling

Yesterday we had a terrible micro-burst in my neighborhood; it didn't go rotational so it really wasn't a tornado, but the winds were up to 78 m.p.h. at Wrigley Field. I was sitting in one of the second floor front bedrooms at the desk, writing, when the sky went greenish-black. A whistling wind came from the west, picked up the 4.5-foot-diameter tree just to the east of our house, and uprooted it easily.

By the time I got down to the basement for safety, it was all over.

My gorgeous little street has the dubious distinction of being the worst hit in this storm; of the beautiful 100-year-old trees that line our street, three-quarters of them are down:

Happily, I don't know of anyone being injured, although there's plenty of damage to garages and cars.

Yikes.

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May 14, 2007

Lynne Kiesling

I haven't said much in the past few months about the personal life, although I do still have one ...

This past weekend was a lovely spring weekend here in Chicago, and we took advantage of it to do some local exploring. We started off Friday night at Dr. Vino's meetup at Juicy Wine Company, which was great fun! His summary tells you all you need to know. We drank a Barbera from California and a Cabernet Sauvignon/Syrah blend from California called Barn d'Or (hee hee!), we ate a variety of Italian cheeses and delicious olives, and had a splendid time.

Saturday morning we went to the 2nd annual Arts & Crafts Chicago Show and Sale at Concordia University in River Forest. Lots of antiques dealers and modern artists who draw inspiration from the American Arts & Crafts movement (as well as related aesthetics, like English arts & crafts, Charles Rennie Mackintosh, art nouveau, and Japanese art). This was a wonderful show, and everyone we met was friendly and knowledgeable. We bought a lovely Motawi tile landscape triptych in a gorgeous oak Dard Hunter frame, to go in our not-yet-built master bathroom. This is only the second year of this show, and I hope it becomes a regular annual occurrence, because it was really enjoyable.

We then followed the intelligence of a colleague of mine and headed to Forest Park to Todd & Holland Tea Merchants, to replenish the woefully depleted stocks of tea in the KP household. What a spectacular place! The proprietor is extremely knowledgeable (we eavesdropped on him explaining the concept of astringency to some tea-newbies, and it was an excellent explanation that would suit a wine tasting too!), the selection is wonderful, and the accoutrements (pots, cups, scone mix, linens) are very well-chosen. We stayed firmly in the terra cognita of Indian teas: Assam, Ceylon, and blends of such. We drank the Abbot's Blend on Saturday afternoon and enjoyed it, but make sure it only steeps for 3 minutes and that you only use 3/4 teaspoon per cup without adding "one for the pot", as is my habit. They also have a great selection of Chinese black tea, green and white teas, and herbal tisanes. They also do mail order and online ordering.

Conveniently enough, there's a yarn store, Chix With Stix, across the street from Todd & Holland, with an ice cream parlor next door. Now you see why it was the best day! I think we'll be going back to Forest Park sooner rather than later ... especially since we could stop at Get A Grip Cycles on the way home and drool over the Serotta bikes.

Next week and weekend will be full of cycling and farmer's markets; the Green City Market opens for the season this Wednesday, and the other Chicago and Evanston markets are soon to follow. Early asparagus and berries, anyone?

So what makes the perfect spring weekend for you?

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February 23, 2007

Lynne Kiesling

The Chicago Cubs will buy their power from Constellation New Energy, a competing retailer in Illinois (as well as several other states). Constellation will purchase the power from generators, transmit it to the local distribution network, where they will pay ComEd to distribute it to 1060 W. Addison St. [Note: technically, because of the physics of AC power, they won't distribute those exact electrons to Wrigley, but you get the idea.]

David Kolata of the Citizen's Utility Board noted that what anemic retail competition we have in Illinois is for larger customers:

“For medium- and big-sized business there is some competition,” Mr. Kolata said.

But that doesn’t help the average citizen or homeowner, Mr. Kolata said.

“For residential customers there’s not a single competition option whatsoever” because suppliers are only interested in working with large consumers of electricity, he said.

All of Constellation’s Illinois customers are businesses, Ms. Hextell said.

But we must be careful not to infer from Mr. Kolata's comments that blame rests with Constellation and other competing suppliers. Incumbent utilities (i.e. ComEd in northern Illinois) have been very effective at structuring what's called "default service", which is the provision of power service to customers who "choose not to choose". They have structured default service in such a way that (even with a 25% rate increase to residential customers) they get to continue to charge low and stable rates, against which it is really hard for competing suppliers to enter the market. In econ-geek-speak, profit-maximizing incumbents have done an effective job of using the political/regulatory process to construct an entry barrier into the market to serve residential customers.

And even though residential service is very profitable to the incumbent utility, profitable enough that you would think it would attract entry, the cost of acquiring new customers is very high to potential competitors, because there are lots of customers, and the value proposition per household is likely to mean only a small profit margin per household if the competing supplier does win the customer, so that means that the competing supplier has to "make it up on volume" and sign up lots of customers. When the incumbent can use default service as an entry barrier, that volume hurdle becomes insuperable for most, if not all, potential competitors.

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February 7, 2007

Lynne Kiesling

One of the big stories in Chicago at the moment is the Chicago Transit Authority (CTA), its expenditures, and its management decisions. Last week I mentioned the ongoing construction and expansion of the Brown Line stations, as well as Time Out Chicago's set of feature articles.

But there's more frustration and discontent simmering than I indicated. This article from Crain's Chicago Business summarizes the problems facing the CTA, many of which they have created for themselves: complaints of being underfunded, but willing to splash out for "ostentatious expansion projects" instead of spending on routine track maintenance, a concomitant increase in "slow zones" because of deteriorating track, and so on. Our train ride to the airport last Friday took more than 50% longer than usual (35 minutes instead of 20 from the Irving Park stop) because much of that distance is now covered by slow zones). Shockingly, one of the largest urban rail systems in the world also still has manual and mechanical signals. Yes, you read that right: at junctions like the one I go through to ride to work, Belmont, a person sitting up in a little white tower does the switching that coordinates three different train lines where two sets of tracks meet. And the switching is mechanical, not electronic, which boggles the mind. Electronic switching would actually increase the capacity utilization, or load factor, on the rails, because it would enable more trains to travel more frequently. That would improve service.

For frustrated commuters, the CTA's most pressing need might be the $727 million it would take to finish replacing mechanical signals, built as far back as the 1950s, with electronic gear. Modern devices are more reliable and can handle more trains, Mr. Fish says. Mr. Paaswell calls such spending "probably the best investment you can make" on a train system. "It's better than expansion."

And yet expansion is what the CTA often has opted for under Mr. Kruesi.

Mr. Kreusi is Frank Kreusi, CTA President. In my view, Kreusi is a very poor manager who lays blame for the CTA's failings entirely on funding. And he may have a point; this article from the Time Out series compares the CTA with urban rail in other large cities, including Paris, London, and Tokyo. Chicago has approximately the same number of miles of track as London, but less than one-third of the funding. The CTA makes do with a substantially smaller budget per mile of track than the other major urban rail systems. But also note in the same table that the average frequency of trains is every 10 minutes, in comparison to every 90 seconds in New York or every 5 minutes in London. So yes, the CTA makes do, but by at least one measure they do not provide as much service.

And yet, the past decade has seen a 25% increase in ridership, which means lots more fare revenue. And then there's the federal and state funding. As Crain's reports,

Remarkably, the CTA is coming off a relatively flush period, having funded major work on four lines (Brown, Red, Blue and Green) in recent years with federal cash and the proceeds of Illinois First bond issues. But the Illinois First money has about run out. If the General Assembly doesn't come up with a new funding source this spring, the CTA may not have the local dollars needed to qualify for matching federal funds.

Even when it was flowing, Illinois First money wasn't enough to tackle many of the CTA's thorniest problems, especially along North Side routes, where some of the oldest transit lines run through many of the city's fastest-growing neighborhoods. For instance, among the CTA's $5.8 billion in unfunded capital needs are large, crumbling sections of concrete walls supporting the 1920s-era Red Line from Wilson Avenue to Howard Street that are held together by steel braces and plates. Estimated cost of replacement: $406 million. At least five seedy, forbidding subway stations on that same line need to be rebuilt at $50 million-plus each.

Instead, what is the CTA doing with some of that federal/state money? They are building a mega-stop in the Loop, under Block 37, to anchor an express line to O'Hare that doesn't even have any public or private funding in the near future.

The CTA is spending $130 million building a super-station under the Block 37 development on State Street that would anchor express service to O'Hare. The idea behind the station, which is also getting $42 million in city subsidies, is to let air travelers check their luggage downtown before being whisked to the airport. To help pay for it, the CTA shifted money from equipment purchases and viaduct work in Evanston, transit sources say. But that service will never begin unless a private operator can be found to bring up to $1.5 billion of its own capital to the project.

So my question is this: from economics/management/free market perspectives, what is the most sensible policy approach at this point? I'd start by showing Frank Kreusi the door, to show that taxpayers do not reward his showy grandstanding priorities. But then what? I think one big conundrum in public transportation is the connection among management quality, funding, and incentives. Is the CTA doing the best it can with its limited budget, and will it thus spend wisely if its budget were increased? Clearly, as is true with any management situation, the Board of Directors is supposed to provide oversight and make sure that the incentive structure is set up properly. The 5-member CTA Board is appointed by Mayor Daley, and while Board Chairman Carole Brown has been critical of some of Kreusi's decisions, it is not clear that the Board is providing the oversight that is in the best interest of the riders and the taxpayers. If they are, they certainly are doing a poor job of communicating that belief effectively to riders and taxpayers.

Simply put: what is the most efficient and fair way to fund and manage existing and future urban rail public transportation? Public ownership and management is not performing well in this case, but is privatization feasible? Or is there more going on than just a simple public/private ownership difference in incentives and performance?

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August 28, 2006

Lynne Kiesling

Sunday was the Accenture Chicago Triathlon. I had been hesitating to do this event for years because of the sheer mass of humanity: this year there were 8,000 athletes and 500,000 spectators. Happily, my sprint-distance wave was not too congested, and I was more able to swim than I expected. I had more fun and did better than I expected. Here are some pics:

Results:


  • Swim 750m: 20min 54 sec (3min of which were the 0.25 mile run to the transition area, ugh!)
  • Transition 1: 2min 50sec
  • Bike 22k: 44min 24sec
  • Transition 2: 4min 4sec
  • Run 5k: 30min 28sec

Total time: 1hr 42min 41sec. Rank 598 out of 1718 total sprint participants (65th percentile), swim rank 548, bike rank 462 (!), run rank 968, sex rank 191 (although I don't know how many women participated in the sprint). I had fun, of course the racecourse is the most beautiful city in the world, and even the sheer mass of humanity was fun, because the participants, volunteers and organizers were all great.

Now, back to your regularly scheduled economics content ...

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July 22, 2005

Lynne Kiesling

Your Intrepid Economist spent the last two evenings partaking of the musical plenitude of Chicago. Wednesday was a long-overdue evening at our almost-neighborhood hangout the Green Mill to hear Kurt Elling and "the band", the Laurence Hobgood Trio. We try to go every Wednesday they're in town, but my life is often too crazy to allow such luxury. This time we had what Kurt called the "Laurence Hobgood memorial seats", right at his elbow, which is good because I like to watch him play.

But this week was double decadence, because Thursday evening we packed a picnic and went to Millennium Park to hear the same cast of characters with John Hendricks, Sheila Jordan, and Mark Murphy for an evening of jazz scat, vocalese and story-telling. The rain held off, the breeze off of the lake was lovely, and the music was great. Good acoustics too. Kurt even sang one of my favorite crazy old songs, "Home Cookin'".

I can recommend the new CD Crazy World from the Laurence Hobgood Trio, which I bought from Laurence on Wednesday. If you like subtle, elegant, melodic, crisp jazz, this CD is for you. You should also note that if you're an audiophile, like this style of jazz, and visiting Chicago, going to the ProMusica shop on Clark Street will make you very happy. And needless to say, if you are in Chicago you should visit the Green Mill. Especially on Wednesdays and Mondays (when Patricia Barber usually plays).

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June 8, 2005

Lynne Kiesling

Today's Google logo is a cool montage of Frank Lloyd Wright buildings. Check it out.

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April 15, 2005

Lynne Kiesling

Chicagoist has a couple of good posts up right now, including this one on chef Charlie Socher, whose Caf Matou is in the regular KP rotation. Socher has a new restaurant in Lincoln Square, Charlie's on Leavitt, that will be on the short list to try when I get home.

They also link to link to Brian Palm, a photographer who goes around town snapping pictures of buildings with historical value that may get demolished.

I've only been away two weeks, but these are making me homesick!

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April 4, 2005

Lynne Kiesling

Well, I would probably disappoint Ray Gifford if I didn't make some note of today being opening day for the Cubs in Arizona against the Diamondbacks. So even though I am certain to be in bed before the opening pitch ... here's the probable lineup:


Chicago Cubs
Pos. Name Bats
1. CF Corey Patterson L
2. 2B Todd Walker L
3. SS Nomar Garciaparra R
4. 3B Aramis Ramirez R
5. RF Jeromy Burnitz L
6. 1B Derrek Lee R
7. LF Todd Hollandsworth L
8. C Michael Barrett R
9. RHP Carlos Zambrano S

I find it heartening that the only new name on the starting roster is Jeromy Burnitz, a very strong hitter who spent last season at Colorado (take that, Ray). Last season he ranked 8th in the NL in home runs and 7th in RBIs. Everyone else is solid, solid, solid. Zambrano is growing into himself, and I hope he continues to do so. Gene Clines as hitting coach also gives me hope, because we hit like crap last year (and I have double fealty to Clines, who played for the Pirates when I was a wee lassie).

Downside? Having both Wood and Prior injured at the beginning of the season, although both are on the mend. Missing Alou (although I think there are a few folks in Chicago who won't miss him). Not happy about the prospect of Mark Grudzielanek showing up at Wrigley in a Cardinals uniform. Borowski and Hawkins leaving a lot unknown in the closer position. Missing Farnsworth's muscular pitching style, and having someone around who I can nickname "Puka Boy" (after the puka shell necklace Kyle always sports).

All things considered, if the things I think are downsides are all nostalgia-driven desires to see the guys I like back again, then I think we're in for another good year.

UPDATE: Holy cow, did we really win 16-6? Derrek Lee rocks, of course, one of the best trades we ever made (although Choi continues to do well and develop).

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March 22, 2005

Lynne Kiesling

One of the most fascinating phenomena to be analyzed using industrial organization is the clustering of competing retailers. Ask yourself: why do Oriental rug stores all cluster in the same block? And what about car dealers? Don't you want to be farther away from your competitors?

Enter Harold Hotelling, who developed a simple model of the retailer location decision. Take a straight line. Label one end 0 and one end 1. Suppose your possible customers are distributed uniformly along that line. Say that you are a retailer and you have to decide where on that line to locate to maximize your revenue (assume constant per unit costs, so irrelevant to location decision). Where do you choose? Duh-halfway, 0.5. Now suppose there are two of you retailers. Where do you each locate? As close to halfway as possible, 0.5+epsilon and 0.5-epsilon. But that puts you right next to each other. And so on.

I love the Hotelling model; it remains one of my favorite simple IO models that explains a lot of meaningful real-world phenomena.

The latest application of the Hotelling model is in Chicago on Michigan Avenue. I was in Streeterville last week for a doctor's appointment, and I noticed that Hershey's is opening a new soda and ice cream shop right next to ... Ghiradelli! Chicagoist noticed the same thing:

Funny thing, though. The location of the Hershey's store is pretty much right across the street from the Ghirardelli shop.

Textbook application of the Hotelling model, with the only hitch being that the corner of Michigan and Pearson is not exactly in the middle of the stretch of Michigan Avenue between the river and Oak Street. It is, however, right smack dab on the plaza where the old water tower is located, so it's a prime tourist and shopping location, which makes it the non-uniform equivalent of "the middle of the line".

Chicagoist also noted the other important dimension that adds interesting complexity to the Hotelling model: product differentiation.

We know that Ghirardelli is more upscale than Hersheys, that it tries to be more like a soda fountain with sundaes and shakes and huge ass cookies and Hersheys is more.. well.. Hershey's... but can that little water tower square on North Michigan Avenue really support TWO chocolate shops?

Answer: yes. Have ya *seen* the throngs of tourists around there at 3PM on summer Saturdays? Between the concentration of customers and the product differentiation, I predict profits for both enterprises.

Although I agree with Rachelle at Chicagoist: go for the hometown favorite, Vosges, a retail outlet of which is located south on Michigan Avenue at the North Bridge shops. *That's* serious product differentiation, and serious chocolate.

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January 20, 2005

Lynne Kiesling

I am a geek of many stripes -- econ geek, shoe geek, yarn geek, and so on. I am also a weather geek. I love the Weather Channel, I love the NOAA website, and above all I love Tom Skilling, Chicago's most famous weather forecaster. He brings an intellectual fascination to weather forecasting and weather phenomenon history that I can relate to at a very geeky level. I know a fellow geek when I see one.

Not surprisingly, Tom and his colleagues have set up a WGN Weather Center Blog. It rocks. Lat night's last entry provides a wealth of information:

January has hosted the Chicago areas three biggest snowstormsthe infamous 1967 Blizzard (23.0) and the megasnows of 1979 (20.7) and 1999 (21.6). Significant snow accumulations are no stranger here this time of year. Even without a truly mammoth snowstorm to its credit, the month has tallied a total of 12 of snow to date, making it one for the books. The amount is already more than the 11.3 considered normal in an entire January.

What the 1999 statistic misses is that there had been about foot of snow just before New Year's, in December 1998. That was a great set of storms ... we actually strapped on the x-c skis and skiied out the back door and the whole mile's distance to the lakefront, having to unstrap only twice to cross streets that had been salted. Then once around the golf course and back home.

We may get anywhere from 5"-8" between now and Saturday. Waxin' those skis ...

Even if you don't live around Chicago, I recommend this site to you for its wealth of general weather phenomenon information.

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January 6, 2005

Lynne Kiesling

About a foot of snow over the past 30 hours. Here's how the KP street looked at 7AM after we finished our shoveling:

I used the "landscape" setting on my camera, which doesn't seem to do too well with focus. But you get the point; it's gorgeous here!

In making what I thought was a rational calculation to buy the house, I didn't consider the cost of all of that additional shoveling ... but at least I've got my workout for the day. But it's an inframarginal cost; we'd have bought the house anyway!

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November 11, 2004

Lynne Kiesling

Adam's eloquent tribute to Chicago is one of the most delightful pieces of writing on my hometown that I've seen in a very long time. I recommend it highly.

And not just because he's very kind and generous to me, or because he wrote it on my sunporch ... but because he captures some of the features that I absolutely adore about Chicago.

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Lynne-at-knowledgeproblem-dot-com

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Mike-at-knowledgeproblem-dot-com

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